The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/9/2026 -
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PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a first positive week for the PACCAR Inc. (PCAR). During the week, the PCAR gained 7.24 points, or 6.49%, and closed at 118.80 on Friday, January 9, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was 19% above average.

PCAR is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PCAR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 20.38 and reached 125.50 on March 28, 2024. PCAR gained -105.12 points, or -515.80%, in 785 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 76.55 and resistance is at 130.50. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PCAR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2024 at 125.50 and reached 84.65 on April 29, 2025. PCAR lost 40.85 points, or 32.55%, in 56 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (78.39) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. PCAR may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PCAR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 20, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PCAR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 17, 2025 at 93.86 and reached 119.21 on January 6, 2026. PCAR gained -25.35 points, or -27.01%, in 50 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PCAR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.26
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.37
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.45
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.44
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.25
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.10
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.59
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.81
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 130.50
Price 118.80
Daily Stochastic Crossing 117.35
Upper Bollinger Band 117.34
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 116.21
20 Day Moving Average 112.89
Parabolic System 111.66
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 110.09
Lower Bollinger Band 107.64
50 Day Moving Average 106.16
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks 109
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 93.86
Low Date 11/17/2025
High 119.21
High Date 01/06/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 92.25
Low Date 10/14/2025
High 119.21
High Date 01/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 84.65
Low Date 04/29/2025
High 119.21
High Date 01/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 110.09
Support 78.39
High 125.50
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 84.65
Low Date 04/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 130.50
Support 76.55
Low 20.38
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 125.50
High Date 03/28/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.