The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 6/27/2025 -
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Morgan Stanley (MS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 143.00
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Morgan Stanley (MS). During the week, the MS gained 7.98 points, or 6.01%, and closed at 140.69 on Friday, June 27, 2025. Weekly volume was -8% below average.

MS is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See MS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2008 at 6.71 and reached 142.00 on February 7, 2025. MS gained -135.29 points, or -2016.24%, in 852 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (143.00). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 94.30 and reached 141.90 on June 27, 2025. MS gained -47.60 points, or -50.48%, in 11 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MS short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 13, 2025 at 128.81 and reached 141.90 on June 27, 2025. MS gained -13.09 points, or -10.16%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 9.24% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.37
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.60
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.51
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.42
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.72
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.20
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.03
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.96
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.78
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 143.00
Daily Stochastic Crossing 141.12
Price 140.69
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 140.17
Upper Bollinger Band 139.86
Parabolic System 135.50
20 Day Moving Average 132.35
50 Day Moving Average 125.69
Lower Bollinger Band 125.62
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Investment Banking & Brokerage 116
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 128.81
Low Date 06/13/2025
High 141.90
High Date 06/27/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 128.81
Low Date 06/13/2025
High 141.90
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 94.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 141.90
High Date 06/27/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 69.42
Low Date 10/30/2023
High 142.00
High Date 02/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 143.00
Support 37.40
Low 6.71
Low Date 10/10/2008
High 142.00
High Date 02/07/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.