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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/26/2025 -
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Merck & Co. (MRK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Merck & Co. (MRK). During the week, the MRK gained 5.69 points, or 5.63%, and closed at 106.78 on Friday, December 26, 2025. Weekly volume was -27% below average.

MRK is a member of Health Care Sector. Health Care is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See MRK long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on June 25, 2024 at 134.63 and reached 73.31 on May 15, 2025. MRK lost 61.32 points, or 45.55%, in 46 weeks. The price is now at the 54.58% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See MRK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 15, 2025 at 73.31 and reached 107.05 on December 26, 2025. MRK gained -33.74 points, or -46.02%, in 32 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 81.00 and resistance is at 110.74. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MRK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 6, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MRK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 16, 2025 at 96.79 and reached 107.05 on December 26, 2025. MRK gained -10.26 points, or -10.60%, in 10 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MRK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.04
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.53
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.37
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.40
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.75
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.08
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.94
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.80
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 110.74
Price 106.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 106.68
Upper Bollinger Band 106.54
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 102.22
20 Day Moving Average 101.29
Parabolic System 100.01
Lower Bollinger Band 95.27
50 Day Moving Average 94.60
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Health Care 11
Industry Pharmaceuticals 72
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 96.79
Low Date 12/16/2025
High 107.05
High Date 12/26/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 96.79
Low Date 12/16/2025
High 107.05
High Date 12/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 96.06
Low Date 12/09/2025
High 107.05
High Date 12/26/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 110.74
Support 81.00
Low 73.31
Low Date 05/15/2025
High 107.05
High Date 12/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 134.63
High Date 06/25/2024
Low 73.31
Low Date 05/15/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.