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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/7/2025 -
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Mosaic Co (MOS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Mosaic Co (MOS). During the week, the MOS dropped -1.87 points, or -6.81%, and closed at 25.58 on Friday, November 7, 2025. Weekly volume was 100% above average.

MOS is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See MOS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 22.36 and reached 38.23 on July 8, 2025. MOS gained -15.87 points, or -70.97%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (36.24) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. MOS may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MOS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 8, 2025 at 38.23 and reached 24.85 on November 6, 2025. MOS lost 13.38 points, or 35.00%, in 17 weeks. The price is now at the 5.46% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MOS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 1, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MOS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 25, 2025 at 37.00 and reached 24.85 on November 6, 2025. MOS lost 12.15 points, or 32.84%, in 42 days. The price is now at the 6.01% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MOS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since October 8, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 21.01
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.83
Strong Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 11.27
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.50 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 25.20
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 15.41
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.85
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.57
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 31.91
50 Day Moving Average 31.72
20 Day Moving Average 28.54
Parabolic System 26.79
Price 25.58
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 25.52
Lower Bollinger Band 25.37
Daily Stochastic Crossing 25.21
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 2
Industry Specialty Chemicals 26
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 30.61
High Date 10/27/2025
Low 24.85
Low Date 11/06/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 37.00
High Date 09/25/2025
Low 24.85
Low Date 11/06/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 38.23
High Date 07/08/2025
Low 24.85
Low Date 11/06/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 36.31
Support 36.24
Low 22.36
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 38.23
High Date 07/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 79.28
High Date 04/18/2022
Low 22.36
Low Date 04/07/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.