The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/3/2025 -
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Microchip Technology (MCHP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergenceThe price is above the upper Bollinger BandPrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
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It was a sixth consecutive positive week for the Microchip Technology (MCHP). During the week, the MCHP gained 2.57 points, or 3.65%, and closed at 73.06 on Thursday, July 3, 2025. Weekly volume was -26% below average.

MCHP is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See MCHP long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 17, 2021 at 166.67 and reached 34.13 on April 7, 2025. MCHP lost 132.54 points, or 79.52%, in 215 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 32.43 and resistance is at 118.72. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MCHP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 34.13 and reached 74.40 on July 3, 2025. MCHP gained -40.27 points, or -117.99%, in 12 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MCHP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 2, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MCHP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 2, 2025 at 70.98 and reached 74.40 on July 3, 2025. MCHP gained -3.42 points, or -4.82%, in 1 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MCHP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since June 16, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.36
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.97
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.01
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.47
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.35
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.84
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.43
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.50
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Daily Stochastic Crossing 73.45
Price 73.06
Upper Bollinger Band 73.01
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 72.95
Parabolic System 69.88
20 Day Moving Average 69.18
Lower Bollinger Band 63.68
50 Day Moving Average 60.43
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 10
Industry Semiconductors 109
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 70.98
Low Date 07/02/2025
High 74.40
High Date 07/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 54.54
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 74.40
High Date 07/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 34.13
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 74.40
High Date 07/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 100.57
High Date 05/24/2024
Low 34.13
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 118.72
Support 32.43
High 166.67
High Date 02/17/2021
Low 34.13
Low Date 04/07/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.