The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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Macy's Inc. (M) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was a first positive week for the Macy's Inc. (M). During the week, the M gained 0.60 points, or 3.54%, and closed at 17.55 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was 18% above average.

M is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See M long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 19, 2024 at 22.10 and reached 9.76 on April 8, 2025. M lost 12.34 points, or 55.84%, in 55 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (6.36) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. M may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See M medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 9.76 and reached 17.90 on September 19, 2025. M gained -8.14 points, or -83.40%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (11.89) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See M weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 6, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See M short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 10.54 and reached 17.90 on September 19, 2025. M gained -7.36 points, or -69.83%, in 88 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (13.36) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See M daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 13, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 150.11% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 83.96
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.64
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.78
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.13 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.90
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.49
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.27
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 19.76
Daily Stochastic Crossing 17.59
Price 17.55
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 17.39
Parabolic System 16.47
Weekly Trendline Resistance 16.19
20 Day Moving Average 15.90
Monthly Trendline Resistance 14.42
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 14.42
50 Day Moving Average 13.92
Lower Bollinger Band 12.38
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 10
Industry Department Stores 100
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 11.77
Low Date 08/05/2025
High 17.90
High Date 09/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 16.19
Support 13.36
Low 10.54
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 17.90
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 14.42
Support 11.89
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 17.90
High Date 09/19/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 14.42
Support 6.36
High 22.10
High Date 03/19/2024
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 37.95
High Date 11/18/2021
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.