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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/12/2025 -
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Macy's Inc. (M) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBearish Doji Star Candlestick
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Macy's Inc. (M). During the week, the M gained 1.30 points, or 5.69%, and closed at 24.15 on Friday, December 12, 2025. M was trading at average weekly trading volume.

M is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See M long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 19, 2024 at 22.10 and reached 9.76 on April 8, 2025. M lost 12.34 points, or 55.84%, in 55 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (4.59) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. M may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See M medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 9.76 and reached 24.41 on December 12, 2025. M gained -14.65 points, or -150.10%, in 35 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (12.91) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See M weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 6, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See M short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 10.54 and reached 24.41 on December 12, 2025. M gained -13.87 points, or -131.59%, in 172 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (21.86) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See M daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 24, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Candlestick pattern: [See M candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Doji Star Candlestick pattern. A Bearish Doji Star Pattern occurs in an uptrend and shows that buyers are now losing the control and market is moving to a deadlock between buyers and sellers. The reliability of the Bearish Doji Star pattern is moderate. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Doji Star Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 79.59
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.53
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.77
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.94 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 79.15
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.22
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.01
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.61 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 25.19
Price 24.15
Daily Stochastic Crossing 23.95
Weekly Trendline Resistance 23.88
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 23.28
Parabolic System 22.56
Weekly Trendline Support 21.86
20 Day Moving Average 21.66
50 Day Moving Average 20.00
Lower Bollinger Band 18.75
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 8
Industry Department Stores 115
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 11.77
Low Date 08/05/2025
High 24.41
High Date 12/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 23.88
Support 21.86
Low 10.54
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 24.41
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 15.45
Support 12.91
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 24.41
High Date 12/12/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 13.22
Support 4.59
High 22.10
High Date 03/19/2024
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 37.95
High Date 11/18/2021
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.