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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/25/2025 -
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Macy's Inc. (M) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal linePrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
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It was a first positive week after 4 consecutive negative weeks for the Macy's Inc. (M). During the week, the M climbed 0.05 points, or 0.45%, and closed at 11.18 on Friday, April 25, 2025. M was trading at average weekly trading volume.

M is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See M long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 19, 2024 at 22.10 and reached 9.76 on April 8, 2025. M lost 12.34 points, or 55.84%, in 55 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 7.31 and resistance is at 16.47. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See M medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 26, 2024 at 18.13 and reached 9.76 on April 8, 2025. M lost 8.37 points, or 46.17%, in 14 weeks. The price is now at the 16.97% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See M weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See M short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 12.05 and reached 10.65 on April 22, 2025. M lost 1.40 points, or 11.62%, in 13 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See M daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 63.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 38.42
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 40.96
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.68
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 84.60
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 18.86
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 24.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.84
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 13.18
50 Day Moving Average 13.02
20 Day Moving Average 11.45
Price 11.18
Daily Stochastic Crossing 11.00
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 10.61
Lower Bollinger Band 10.00
Parabolic System 9.82
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 2
Industry Department Stores 47
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 12.05
High Date 04/09/2025
Low 10.65
Low Date 04/22/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 15.94
High Date 01/31/2025
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 18.13
High Date 12/26/2024
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 16.47
Support 7.31
High 22.10
High Date 03/19/2024
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 37.95
High Date 11/18/2021
Low 9.76
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.