The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/3/2025 -
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Lam Research (LRCX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergence
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBullish Doji CandlestickThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a seventh consecutive positive week for the Lam Research (LRCX). During the week, the LRCX gained 17.48 points, or 13.62%, and closed at 145.81 on Friday, October 3, 2025. Weekly volume was 7% above average.

Long-term trend: [See LRCX long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on July 11, 2024 at 1130.00 and reached 56.32 on April 7, 2025. LRCX lost 1073.68 points, or 95.02%, in 38 weeks. The price is now at the 8.33% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See LRCX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 56.32 and reached 147.91 on October 3, 2025. LRCX gained -91.59 points, or -162.62%, in 25 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (99.76) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See LRCX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 3, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See LRCX short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 25, 2025 at 125.02 and reached 147.91 on October 3, 2025. LRCX gained -22.89 points, or -18.31%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 9.17% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See LRCX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 5, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 32.34% on Friday. It is 70.99% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See LRCX candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 85.85
Overbought Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.32
Strong Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 91.45
Strong Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.06 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 88.09
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.82
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.78
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -15.86 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 150.52
Daily Stochastic Crossing 147.01
Price 145.81
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 144.96
Parabolic System 137.53
20 Day Moving Average 125.74
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 118.58
50 Day Moving Average 110.41
Lower Bollinger Band 103.37
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 6
Industry Semiconductor Equipment 108
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 125.02
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 147.91
High Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 125.02
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 147.91
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 94.11
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 147.91
High Date 10/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 118.58
Support 99.76
Low 56.32
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 147.91
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 1130.00
High Date 07/11/2024
Low 56.32
Low Date 04/07/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.