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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 11/7/2025 -
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Lilly (Eli) & Co. (LLY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Lilly (Eli) & Co. (LLY). During the week, the LLY gained 61.51 points, or 7.13%, and closed at 924.37 on Friday, November 7, 2025. Weekly volume was 49% above average.

LLY is a member of Health Care Sector. Health Care is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See LLY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on August 22, 2024 at 972.53 and reached 623.78 on August 8, 2025. LLY lost 348.75 points, or 35.86%, in 50 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (592.45) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. LLY may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See LLY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 8, 2025 at 623.78 and reached 955.46 on November 5, 2025. LLY gained -331.68 points, or -53.17%, in 12 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 823.09 and resistance is at 967.16. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See LLY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since September 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See LLY short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 17, 2025 at 783.85 and reached 955.46 on November 5, 2025. LLY gained -171.61 points, or -21.89%, in 19 days. The price is now at the 18.12% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See LLY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 30, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.01
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.77
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.54
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 24.34
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.92
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 82.81
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.18
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.54
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 967.16
Upper Bollinger Band 945.81
Daily Stochastic Crossing 932.98
Price 924.37
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 906.83
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 886.17
Parabolic System 854.75
20 Day Moving Average 845.32
Monthly Trendline Support 823.09
50 Day Moving Average 800.13
Lower Bollinger Band 766.91
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Health Care 11
Industry Pharmaceuticals 73
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 809.63
Low Date 10/29/2025
High 955.46
High Date 11/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 783.85
Low Date 10/17/2025
High 955.46
High Date 11/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 967.16
Support 823.09
Low 623.78
Low Date 08/08/2025
High 955.46
High Date 11/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 886.17
Support 592.45
High 972.53
High Date 08/22/2024
Low 623.78
Low Date 08/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 27.21
Low Date 03/05/2009
High 972.53
High Date 08/22/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.