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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 5/8/2026 -
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Leidos Holdings (LDOS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorOversold industryBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was the negative week for the Leidos Holdings (LDOS). During the week, the LDOS dropped -19.12 points, or -12.81%, and closed at 130.11 on Friday, May 8, 2026. Weekly volume was 94% above average.

LDOS is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the most overbought sector. LDOS is a member of IT Consulting & Other Services Industry. IT Consulting & Other Services is the fourth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See LDOS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on May 17, 2023 at 76.58 and reached 205.77 on November 4, 2025. LDOS gained -129.19 points, or -168.70%, in 128 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (155.05) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. LDOS may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See LDOS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 8, 2026 at 205.00 and reached 127.87 on May 8, 2026. LDOS lost 77.13 points, or 37.62%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (144.42) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See LDOS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 14, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See LDOS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on May 7, 2026 at 135.50 and reached 127.87 on May 8, 2026. LDOS lost 7.63 points, or 5.63%, in 1 days. The price is now at the 29.36% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See LDOS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (25.73%) is close to one year high (21.54%). It is 133.56% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14.87
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 90.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.85
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 14.20
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.40
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 19.02
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.80
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.68
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.90
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.09
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 162.95
50 Day Moving Average 158.66
Yearly Trendline Support 155.05
Parabolic System 149.33
20 Day Moving Average 147.69
Monthly Trendline Resistance 147.14
Monthly Trendline Support 144.42
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 132.22
Daily Stochastic Crossing 130.43
Price 130.11
Lower Bollinger Band 129.48
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 9
Industry IT Consulting & Other Services 4
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 135.50
High Date 05/07/2026
Low 127.87
Low Date 05/08/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 162.00
High Date 04/08/2026
Low 127.87
Low Date 05/08/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 147.14
Support 144.42
High 205.00
High Date 01/08/2026
Low 127.87
Low Date 05/08/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 205.77
High Date 11/04/2025
Low 127.87
Low Date 05/08/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 207.26
Support 155.05
Low 76.58
Low Date 05/17/2023
High 205.77
High Date 11/04/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.