The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 98.11
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the priceThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a seventh consecutive positive week for the SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK). During the week, the JNK climbed 0.40 points, or 0.41%, and closed at 98.09 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was 10% above average.

Long-term trend: [See JNK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 86.28 and reached 98.13 on September 19, 2025. JNK gained -11.85 points, or -13.73%, in 153 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 91.48 and resistance is at 99.78. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See JNK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 90.41 and reached 98.13 on September 19, 2025. JNK gained -7.72 points, or -8.54%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (98.11). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See JNK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See JNK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 9, 2025 at 97.30 and reached 98.13 on September 19, 2025. JNK gained -0.83 points, or -0.85%, in 10 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See JNK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 9, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (97.53) comes close to the price (98.09). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.74
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.14
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.52
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.23 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.05
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.36
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.09
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.35
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 99.78
Upper Bollinger Band 98.16
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 98.11
Price 98.09
Daily Stochastic Crossing 98.03
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 97.90
20 Day Moving Average 97.59
Parabolic System 97.53
Quarterly Trendline Support 97.51
50 Day Moving Average 97.10
Lower Bollinger Band 96.97
Yearly Trendline Support 91.48
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 97.64
Low Date 09/17/2025
High 98.13
High Date 09/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 97.30
Low Date 09/09/2025
High 98.13
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 96.09
Low Date 07/16/2025
High 98.13
High Date 09/19/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 98.11
Support 97.51
Low 90.41
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 98.13
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 99.78
Support 91.48
Low 86.28
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 98.13
High Date 09/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.