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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 10/3/2025 -
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Jack Henry & Associates (JKHY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergenceThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Jack Henry & Associates (JKHY). During the week, the JKHY dropped -3.12 points, or -2.09%, and closed at 146.26 on Friday, October 3, 2025. Weekly volume was 123% above average.

Long-term trend: [See JKHY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 10, 2025 at 196.00 and reached 144.12 on October 2, 2025. JKHY lost 51.88 points, or 26.47%, in 29 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (156.31) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See JKHY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 21, 2025 at 186.52 and reached 144.12 on October 2, 2025. JKHY lost 42.40 points, or 22.73%, in 19 weeks. The price is now at the 5.05% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See JKHY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 11, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See JKHY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 22, 2025 at 166.41 and reached 144.12 on October 2, 2025. JKHY lost 22.29 points, or 13.39%, in 41 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 144.19 and resistance is at 158.91. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See JKHY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 17, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 105.68% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 23.90
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 18.04
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.64
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.87 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 21.01
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.77
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.59
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.19
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 164.41
50 Day Moving Average 160.41
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 159.94
Weekly Trendline Resistance 158.91
Quarterly Trendline Support 156.31
20 Day Moving Average 153.97
Parabolic System 147.88
Price 146.26
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 145.64
Daily Stochastic Crossing 145.51
Weekly Trendline Support 144.19
Lower Bollinger Band 141.72
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 6
Industry Data Processing & Outsourced Services 24
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 151.81
High Date 09/29/2025
Low 144.12
Low Date 10/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 158.91
Support 144.19
High 166.41
High Date 08/22/2025
Low 144.12
Low Date 10/02/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 186.52
High Date 05/21/2025
Low 144.12
Low Date 10/02/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 159.94
Support 156.31
High 196.00
High Date 03/10/2025
Low 144.12
Low Date 10/02/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 136.57
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 196.00
High Date 03/10/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.