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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/5/2025 -
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iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury (IEF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic bearish divergenceThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury (IEF). During the week, the IEF climbed 0.63 points, or 0.66%, and closed at 96.78 on Friday, September 5, 2025. IEF was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See IEF long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 16, 2024 at 99.18 and reached 91.08 on January 13, 2025. IEF lost 8.10 points, or 8.17%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (95.55) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. IEF may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See IEF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 91.08 and reached 97.52 on April 4, 2025. IEF gained -6.44 points, or -7.07%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (94.86) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See IEF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 20, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See IEF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 11, 2025 at 92.79 and reached 97.02 on September 5, 2025. IEF gained -4.23 points, or -4.56%, in 147 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (94.48) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See IEF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 22, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.23
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.18
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.35
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.25
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.99
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.66
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.10
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.19
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 96.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 96.59
Upper Bollinger Band 96.59
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 96.54
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 96.26
20 Day Moving Average 95.70
Weekly Trendline Resistance 95.69
Quarterly Trendline Support 95.55
Parabolic System 95.40
50 Day Moving Average 95.22
Lower Bollinger Band 94.93
Monthly Trendline Support 94.86
Weekly Trendline Support 94.48
Monthly Trendline Resistance 89.10
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 93.03
Low Date 05/21/2025
High 97.02
High Date 09/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 95.69
Support 94.48
Low 92.79
Low Date 04/11/2025
High 97.02
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 89.10
Support 94.86
Low 91.08
Low Date 01/13/2025
High 97.52
High Date 04/04/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 96.26
Support 95.55
High 99.18
High Date 09/16/2024
Low 91.08
Low Date 01/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 123.41
High Date 03/09/2020
Low 88.86
Low Date 10/19/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.