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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/18/2026 -
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iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury (IEF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was the negative week for the iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury (IEF). During the week, the IEF gave back -0.21 points, or -0.23%, and closed at 90.80 on Friday, September 18, 2026. Weekly volume was 10% above average.

Long-term trend: [See IEF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 19, 2023 at 88.86 and reached 99.18 on September 16, 2024. IEF gained -10.32 points, or -11.61%, in 47 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (96.00) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. IEF may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See IEF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 26, 2026 at 95.08 and reached 90.70 on September 16, 2026. IEF lost 4.38 points, or 4.61%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 90.44 and resistance is at 91.37. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See IEF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 27, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See IEF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2026 at 91.26 and reached 90.79 on September 18, 2026. IEF lost 0.47 points, or 0.52%, in 1 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See IEF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 31, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (91.37) comes close to the price (90.80). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (4.01%) is close to one year high (3.33%). It is 126.22% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.29
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.90
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 13.22
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.49
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 21.83
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.70
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.27
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.28
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.71 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 97.61
Yearly Trendline Support 96.00
Upper Bollinger Band 93.65
50 Day Moving Average 92.75
20 Day Moving Average 92.05
Weekly Trendline Resistance 91.37
Parabolic System 91.37
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 90.97
Daily Stochastic Crossing 90.86
Price 90.80
Weekly Trendline Support 90.44
Lower Bollinger Band 90.02
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 91.26
High Date 09/17/2026
Low 90.79
Low Date 09/18/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 91.37
Support 90.44
High 95.08
High Date 06/26/2026
Low 90.70
Low Date 09/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 98.05
High Date 02/27/2026
Low 90.70
Low Date 09/16/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 99.18
High Date 09/16/2024
Low 90.70
Low Date 09/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 97.61
Support 96.00
Low 88.86
Low Date 10/19/2023
High 99.18
High Date 09/16/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.