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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/23/2026 -
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Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Hewlett-Packard (HPQ). During the week, the HPQ dropped -0.94 points, or -4.61%, and closed at 19.43 on Friday, January 23, 2026. Weekly volume was 72% above average.

Long-term trend: [See HPQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on November 25, 2024 at 39.79 and reached 19.20 on January 23, 2026. HPQ lost 20.59 points, or 51.75%, in 60 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Medium-term trend: [See HPQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 9, 2025 at 29.55 and reached 19.20 on January 23, 2026. HPQ lost 10.35 points, or 35.03%, in 19 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HPQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 14, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HPQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 26, 2025 at 23.31 and reached 19.20 on January 23, 2026. HPQ lost 4.11 points, or 17.63%, in 28 days. The price is now at the 5.60% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HPQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 17, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 23.26
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 87.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.50
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.31
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.01 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 18.09
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.14
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.50
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.01
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 23.62
50 Day Moving Average 23.14
20 Day Moving Average 21.34
Parabolic System 20.77
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 19.67
Daily Stochastic Crossing 19.51
Price 19.43
Lower Bollinger Band 18.96
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 3
Industry Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 11
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 23.31
High Date 12/26/2025
Low 19.20
Low Date 01/23/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 23.31
High Date 12/26/2025
Low 19.20
Low Date 01/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 26.04
High Date 12/05/2025
Low 19.20
Low Date 01/23/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 29.55
High Date 09/09/2025
Low 19.20
Low Date 01/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 39.79
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 19.20
Low Date 01/23/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.