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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 3/27/2026 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergenceTrend resistance at 19.48Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG gained 1.89 points, or 10.75%, and closed at 19.47 on Friday, March 27, 2026. Weekly volume was 76% above average.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2025 at 31.25 and reached 17.09 on March 19, 2026. HOG lost 14.16 points, or 45.31%, in 26 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (19.48). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 12, 2026 at 21.34 and reached 17.09 on March 19, 2026. HOG lost 4.25 points, or 19.92%, in 5 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (17.08) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. HOG may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on March 19, 2026 at 17.09 and reached 19.68 on March 26, 2026. HOG gained -2.59 points, or -15.16%, in 7 days. The price is now at the 8.11% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 71.67
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.68
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.44
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.86
Bullish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 77.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 24.28
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 31.36
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.72 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 20.03
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 19.48
Price 19.47
50 Day Moving Average 19.34
Daily Stochastic Crossing 19.18
20 Day Moving Average 18.35
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 18.30
Parabolic System 17.52
Monthly Trendline Resistance 17.39
Lower Bollinger Band 17.13
Monthly Trendline Support 17.08
Quarterly Trendline Support 16.08
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 4
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 32
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
High 19.68
High Date 03/26/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
High 19.68
High Date 03/26/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 17.39
Support 17.08
High 21.34
High Date 02/12/2026
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 19.48
Support 16.08
High 31.25
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 51.77
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.