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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 11/21/2025 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
| | Weekly :  | | Daily :
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| | It was the negative week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG dropped -1.27 points, or -5.14%, and closed at 23.44 on Friday, November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was 61% above average.
HOG is a member of Motorcycle Manufacturers Industry. Motorcycle Manufacturers is the eighth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.
 Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 2, 2023 at 51.77 and reached 20.45 on April 8, 2025. HOG lost 31.32 points, or 60.50%, in 113 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 18.28 and resistance is at 33.23. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 20.45 and reached 31.25 on September 17, 2025. HOG gained -10.80 points, or -52.81%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (25.44) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. HOG may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 31, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 24, 2025 at 28.36 and reached 22.17 on November 20, 2025. HOG lost 6.19 points, or 21.83%, in 27 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 21.90 and resistance is at 24.46. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.
Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range.
The daily MACD line is below its signal line since November 3, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.
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