The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 4/17/2025 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence
Daily :The price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG gave back -0.03 points, or -0.13%, and closed at 22.51 on Thursday, April 17, 2025. Weekly volume was 7% above average.

HOG is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2024 at 44.16 and reached 20.45 on April 8, 2025. HOG lost 23.71 points, or 53.69%, in 53 weeks. The price is now at the 8.69% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 19, 2024 at 39.93 and reached 20.45 on April 8, 2025. HOG lost 19.48 points, or 48.79%, in 28 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (21.60) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 4, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 25, 2024 at 35.21 and reached 20.45 on April 8, 2025. HOG lost 14.76 points, or 41.92%, in 134 days. The price is now at the 13.96% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 2, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 101.41% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.32
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 75.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 38.88
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 34.65
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.88
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.65
Bullish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 90.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 25.34
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 25.66
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.39 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 26.74
50 Day Moving Average 24.99
20 Day Moving Average 23.74
Price 22.51
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 22.41
Weekly Trendline Resistance 22.04
Daily Stochastic Crossing 21.97
Weekly Trendline Support 21.60
Parabolic System 20.43
Lower Bollinger Band 20.10
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 2
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 25
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 35.21
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 22.04
Support 21.60
High 39.93
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 44.16
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 51.77
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 52.06
High Date 05/18/2021
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.