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- 2/27/2026 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold industryLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic bullish divergenceTrend support at 17.77
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
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It was the negative week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG dropped -2.11 points, or -10.49%, and closed at 18.00 on Friday, February 27, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 45% above average.

HOG is a member of Motorcycle Manufacturers Industry. Motorcycle Manufacturers is the most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 2, 2023 at 51.77 and reached 17.93 on February 27, 2026. HOG lost 33.84 points, or 65.37%, in 160 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2025 at 31.25 and reached 17.93 on February 27, 2026. HOG lost 13.32 points, or 42.62%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (17.77) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 12, 2026 at 21.34 and reached 17.93 on February 27, 2026. HOG lost 3.41 points, or 15.98%, in 15 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (18.58) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.47
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.31
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.34
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 24.10
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 16.07
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.69
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.46 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 21.25
Monthly Trendline Resistance 21.17
50 Day Moving Average 20.39
Parabolic System 20.28
20 Day Moving Average 19.87
Weekly Trendline Resistance 19.18
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 18.63
Weekly Trendline Support 18.58
Lower Bollinger Band 18.22
Daily Stochastic Crossing 18.12
Price 18.00
Monthly Trendline Support 17.77
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 1
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 19.83
High Date 02/24/2026
Low 17.93
Low Date 02/27/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 19.18
Support 18.58
High 21.34
High Date 02/12/2026
Low 17.93
Low Date 02/27/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Support
Resistance 21.17
Support 17.77
High 31.25
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 17.93
Low Date 02/27/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 51.77
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 17.93
Low Date 02/27/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 52.06
High Date 05/18/2021
Low 17.93
Low Date 02/27/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.