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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/17/2025 -
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streetTRACKS Gold Shares (GLD) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (GLD). During the week, the GLD gained 8.22 points, or 2.76%, and closed at 306.12 on Thursday, April 17, 2025. Weekly volume was 105% above average.

Long-term trend: [See GLD long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 17, 2015 at 100.23 and reached 308.06 on April 16, 2025. GLD gained -207.83 points, or -207.35%, in 486 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (168.45) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See GLD medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 5, 2023 at 168.30 and reached 308.06 on April 16, 2025. GLD gained -139.76 points, or -83.04%, in 79 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (269.40) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See GLD weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See GLD short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 14, 2024 at 236.10 and reached 308.06 on April 16, 2025. GLD gained -71.96 points, or -30.48%, in 153 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (274.32) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See GLD daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 10, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.96
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.09
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.04
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.48
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 85.27
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.52
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.38
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 10.85
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 307.69
Price 306.12
Daily Stochastic Crossing 306.00
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 302.70
20 Day Moving Average 287.04
Weekly Trendline Resistance 287.00
Monthly Trendline Resistance 286.77
Parabolic System 281.28
50 Day Moving Average 276.91
Weekly Trendline Support 274.32
Monthly Trendline Support 269.40
Lower Bollinger Band 269.13
Yearly Trendline Resistance 267.04
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Low 238.70
Low Date 12/19/2024
High 308.06
High Date 04/16/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 287.00
Support 274.32
Low 236.10
Low Date 11/14/2024
High 308.06
High Date 04/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 286.77
Support 269.40
Low 168.30
Low Date 10/05/2023
High 308.06
High Date 04/16/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 150.57
Low Date 11/03/2022
High 308.06
High Date 04/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 267.04
Support 168.45
Low 100.23
Low Date 12/17/2015
High 308.06
High Date 04/16/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.