The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/17/2025 -
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Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 51.58
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX). During the week, the GDX gained 1.22 points, or 2.45%, and closed at 50.92 on Thursday, April 17, 2025. Weekly volume was 22% above average.

Long-term trend: [See GDX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 4, 2023 at 25.62 and reached 52.81 on April 16, 2025. GDX gained -27.19 points, or -106.13%, in 80 weeks. The price is now at the 6.95% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See GDX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on December 30, 2024 at 33.42 and reached 52.81 on April 16, 2025. GDX gained -19.39 points, or -58.02%, in 15 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (43.18) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See GDX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 7, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See GDX short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on February 28, 2025 at 38.58 and reached 52.81 on April 16, 2025. GDX gained -14.23 points, or -36.88%, in 47 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (51.58). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See GDX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. Daily Relative Strength Index has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 10, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.34
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.88
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.29
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.39
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.78
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.89
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.15
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.47
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 52.55
Daily Stochastic Crossing 52.05
Weekly Trendline Resistance 51.58
Price 50.92
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 50.27
Monthly Trendline Resistance 49.08
20 Day Moving Average 46.14
Parabolic System 45.59
50 Day Moving Average 43.54
Monthly Trendline Support 43.18
Weekly Trendline Support 40.83
Lower Bollinger Band 40.57
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 40.26
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 52.81
High Date 04/16/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 51.58
Support 40.83
Low 38.58
Low Date 02/28/2025
High 52.81
High Date 04/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 49.08
Support 43.18
Low 33.42
Low Date 12/30/2024
High 52.81
High Date 04/16/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 25.62
Low Date 10/04/2023
High 52.81
High Date 04/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 21.52
Low Date 09/26/2022
High 52.81
High Date 04/16/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.