The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 9/5/2025 -
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Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a fifth consecutive positive week for the Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX). During the week, the GDX gained 3.17 points, or 5.02%, and closed at 66.34 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was 54% above average.

Long-term trend: [See GDX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 4, 2023 at 25.62 and reached 66.87 on September 5, 2025. GDX gained -41.25 points, or -161.01%, in 100 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (37.48) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See GDX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 27, 2025 at 50.32 and reached 66.87 on September 5, 2025. GDX gained -16.55 points, or -32.89%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (52.28) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See GDX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 1, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See GDX short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 31, 2025 at 51.37 and reached 66.87 on September 5, 2025. GDX gained -15.50 points, or -30.17%, in 36 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See GDX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 1, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.48
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.57
Strong Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 88.28
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.22 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.39
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.38
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.59
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.64
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 66.51
Price 66.34
Daily Stochastic Crossing 66.29
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 65.78
Parabolic System 63.80
20 Day Moving Average 60.46
Weekly Trendline Resistance 59.35
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 56.60
50 Day Moving Average 55.95
Lower Bollinger Band 54.98
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 51.37
Low Date 07/31/2025
High 66.87
High Date 09/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 59.35
Support 52.28
Low 50.32
Low Date 06/27/2025
High 66.87
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 33.42
Low Date 12/30/2024
High 66.87
High Date 09/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 56.60
Support 37.48
Low 25.62
Low Date 10/04/2023
High 66.87
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 21.52
Low Date 09/26/2022
High 66.87
High Date 09/05/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.