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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 7/24/2026 -
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CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was the negative week for the CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY). During the week, the FXY gave back -0.47 points, or -0.83%, and closed at 56.04 on Friday, July 24, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since May 15, 2026. Weekly volume was 32% above average.

Long-term trend: [See FXY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 21, 2025 at 65.64 and reached 55.96 on July 23, 2026. FXY lost 9.68 points, or 14.75%, in 65 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (56.81) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FXY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 6, 2026 at 58.83 and reached 55.96 on July 23, 2026. FXY lost 2.87 points, or 4.88%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend support line (56.41) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FXY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since June 18, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FXY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 17, 2026 at 56.51 and reached 55.96 on July 23, 2026. FXY lost 0.55 points, or 0.97%, in 6 days. The price is now at the 14.55% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FXY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (56.54) comes close to the price (56.04). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.92
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.46
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 14.67
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.22
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.93
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.60
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 5.18
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.94
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.68
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 57.34
50 Day Moving Average 57.03
Upper Bollinger Band 56.94
Monthly Trendline Support 56.81
Parabolic System 56.54
20 Day Moving Average 56.48
Weekly Trendline Support 56.41
Weekly Trendline Resistance 56.31
Lower Bollinger Band 56.06
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 56.05
Price 56.04
Daily Stochastic Crossing 56.00
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 56.51
High Date 07/17/2026
Low 55.96
Low Date 07/23/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 56.31
Support 56.41
High 58.83
High Date 05/06/2026
Low 55.96
Low Date 07/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 57.34
Support 56.81
High 65.64
High Date 04/21/2025
Low 55.96
Low Date 07/23/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 65.88
High Date 09/16/2024
Low 55.96
Low Date 07/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 96.75
High Date 08/18/2016
Low 55.96
Low Date 07/23/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.