The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Price vs. Lower Bollinger Band:Below
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Bollinger Band crossover - Stock market timing signal.

The Bollinger bands indicator developed by John Bollinger in the early 1980s is one of the most popular and powerful trading tools. These bands are charted two standard deviations away from a simple moving average, and they provide a relative definition of high and low. Bollinger bands trading technique uses one band as an entry point exit of the other. The center band presents a neutral support/resistance level. As with most indicators, signals generated by bollinger band crossover should be confirmed using complimentary indicators.

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- 4/19/2024 -
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CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageWilliams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversoldA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was the negative week for the CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA). During the week, the FXA gave back -0.39 points, or -0.61%, and closed at 63.57 on Friday, April 19, 2024. Weekly volume was -37% below average.

Long-term trend: [See FXA long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 25, 2021 at 79.54 and reached 61.39 on October 14, 2022. FXA lost 18.15 points, or 22.82%, in 85 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 62.78 and resistance is at 65.10. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FXA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 3, 2023 at 62.28 and reached 67.93 on December 28, 2023. FXA gained -5.65 points, or -9.07%, in 12 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (64.57) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. FXA may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FXA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 9, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FXA short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 8, 2024 at 65.78 and reached 63.32 on April 16, 2024. FXA lost 2.46 points, or 3.74%, in 39 days. The price is now at the 10.16% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FXA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 11, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (64) comes close to the price (63.57). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 43.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.50
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.45
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 22.05
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.19
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.98
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.80
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 41.68
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 31.18
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.03
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 65.59
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 65.10
50 Day Moving Average 64.69
Monthly Trendline Support 64.57
Monthly Trendline Resistance 64.48
20 Day Moving Average 64.48
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 64.27
Parabolic System 64.00
Price 63.57
Daily Stochastic Crossing 63.49
Lower Bollinger Band 63.16
Quarterly Trendline Support 62.78
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 65.78
High Date 03/08/2024
Low 63.32
Low Date 04/16/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 67.93
High Date 12/28/2023
Low 63.32
Low Date 04/16/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 64.48
Support 64.57
Low 62.28
Low Date 10/03/2023
High 67.93
High Date 12/28/2023
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 65.10
Support 62.78
High 79.54
High Date 02/25/2021
Low 61.39
Low Date 10/14/2022
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 110.99
High Date 07/27/2011
Low 57.50
Low Date 03/18/2020
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.