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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 12/26/2025 -
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CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 67.38
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a first positive week for the CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA). During the week, the FXA gained 1.04 points, or 1.59%, and closed at 66.52 on Friday, December 26, 2025. Weekly volume was -47% below average.

Long-term trend: [See FXA long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 1, 2023 at 70.66 and reached 58.90 on April 7, 2025. FXA lost 11.76 points, or 16.64%, in 113 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (67.38). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FXA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 21, 2025 at 63.66 and reached 66.61 on December 26, 2025. FXA gained -2.95 points, or -4.63%, in 5 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FXA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 5, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FXA short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 17, 2025 at 65.40 and reached 66.61 on December 26, 2025. FXA gained -1.21 points, or -1.85%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 7.44% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FXA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.61
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.86
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.57
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.32 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.86
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 71.86
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.16
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.26 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 67.38
Upper Bollinger Band 66.60
Price 66.52
Daily Stochastic Crossing 66.47
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 66.16
20 Day Moving Average 65.69
Parabolic System 65.46
50 Day Moving Average 64.95
Lower Bollinger Band 64.71
Quarterly Trendline Support 57.27
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 65.40
Low Date 12/17/2025
High 66.61
High Date 12/26/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 63.66
Low Date 11/21/2025
High 66.61
High Date 12/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 58.90
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 66.61
High Date 12/26/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 67.38
Support 57.27
High 70.66
High Date 02/01/2023
Low 58.90
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 110.99
High Date 07/27/2011
Low 57.50
Low Date 03/18/2020
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.