The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/3/2025 -
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iShares MSCI Brazil Index (EWZ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the iShares MSCI Brazil Index (EWZ). During the week, the EWZ gained 1.17 points, or 4.16%, and closed at 29.31 on Thursday, July 3, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was 13% above average.

Long-term trend: [See EWZ long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on December 19, 2023 at 35.74 and reached 22.26 on December 18, 2024. EWZ lost 13.48 points, or 37.72%, in 52 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (16.70) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. EWZ may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EWZ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on December 18, 2024 at 22.26 and reached 29.35 on July 3, 2025. EWZ gained -7.09 points, or -31.85%, in 28 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EWZ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 7, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EWZ short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 23, 2025 at 26.76 and reached 29.35 on July 3, 2025. EWZ gained -2.59 points, or -9.68%, in 41 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (27.69) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EWZ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.96
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 18.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.86
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.23
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.26
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.06
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.61
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.43
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.12 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 29.31
Daily Stochastic Crossing 29.29
Upper Bollinger Band 29.16
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 29.02
Weekly Trendline Resistance 28.37
20 Day Moving Average 28.13
50 Day Moving Average 27.70
Weekly Trendline Support 27.69
Parabolic System 27.65
Lower Bollinger Band 27.23
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 25.10
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 27.45
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 29.35
High Date 07/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 28.37
Support 27.69
Low 26.76
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 29.35
High Date 07/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 22.26
Low Date 12/18/2024
High 29.35
High Date 07/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 25.10
Support 16.70
High 35.74
High Date 12/19/2023
Low 22.26
Low Date 12/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 48.48
High Date 01/02/2020
Low 20.14
Low Date 03/19/2020
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.