The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Broken Support

Uptrend Broken Support stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Broken Support alert is a confirmation that long term uptrend reversal is completed and a new downtrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of support trendline. This point is considered as a second chance to sell long position (or open short positions) in uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Broken Support

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- 8/8/2025 -
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Estee Lauder (EL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtOversold sector
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARTrend resistance at 90.78The period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Estee Lauder (EL). During the week, the EL gave back -0.35 points, or -0.38%, and closed at 90.69 on Friday, August 8, 2025. Weekly volume was -41% below average.

EL is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See EL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 3, 2022 at 374.20 and reached 48.37 on April 9, 2025. EL lost 325.83 points, or 87.07%, in 170 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 48.37 and reached 95.30 on July 31, 2025. EL gained -46.93 points, or -97.02%, in 16 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (93.29) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 2, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 31, 2025 at 95.30 and reached 88.44 on August 1, 2025. EL lost 6.86 points, or 7.20%, in 1 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (90.78). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 15, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 10.67% on Friday. It is 55.61% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.81
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 37.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 45.53
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 55.84
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.17
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.78
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.85
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.76
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.02
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 96.36
Parabolic System 94.93
Upper Bollinger Band 94.04
Monthly Trendline Support 93.29
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 91.60
Daily Stochastic Crossing 91.19
Weekly Trendline Resistance 90.78
Price 90.69
20 Day Moving Average 89.76
Weekly Trendline Support 89.75
Lower Bollinger Band 84.35
50 Day Moving Average 81.88
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 1
Industry Personal Products 30
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 89.49
Low Date 08/07/2025
High 92.07
High Date 08/08/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 90.78
Support 89.75
High 95.30
High Date 07/31/2025
Low 88.44
Low Date 08/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 96.36
Support 93.29
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 95.30
High Date 07/31/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 283.62
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status
Resistance
Support
High 374.20
High Date 01/03/2022
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.