The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/3/2025 -
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Estee Lauder (EL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtOversold sector
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Estee Lauder (EL). During the week, the EL gained 8.63 points, or 10.78%, and closed at 88.72 on Thursday, July 3, 2025. Weekly volume was 18% above average.

EL is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See EL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 3, 2022 at 374.20 and reached 48.37 on April 9, 2025. EL lost 325.83 points, or 87.07%, in 170 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 48.37 and reached 89.86 on July 3, 2025. EL gained -41.49 points, or -85.78%, in 12 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (72.23) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 2, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 13, 2025 at 67.11 and reached 89.86 on July 3, 2025. EL gained -22.75 points, or -33.90%, in 20 days. The price is now at the 5.01% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 83.70
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.55
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 89.19
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.05
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.16
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.22
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.13
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.90
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 89.98
Price 88.72
Daily Stochastic Crossing 88.46
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 87.77
Parabolic System 81.65
Monthly Trendline Resistance 78.44
20 Day Moving Average 75.88
Monthly Trendline Support 72.23
50 Day Moving Average 68.16
Lower Bollinger Band 64.24
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 1
Industry Personal Products 26
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 67.11
Low Date 06/13/2025
High 89.86
High Date 07/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 67.11
Low Date 06/13/2025
High 89.86
High Date 07/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 78.44
Support 72.23
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 89.86
High Date 07/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 283.62
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status
Resistance
Support
High 374.20
High Date 01/03/2022
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.