The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/23/2026 -
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Estee Lauder (EL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance lineTrend resistance at 117.06
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Estee Lauder (EL). During the week, the EL gained 2.64 points, or 2.29%, and closed at 117.69 on Friday, January 23, 2026. Weekly volume was -16% below average.

Long-term trend: [See EL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 3, 2022 at 374.20 and reached 48.37 on April 9, 2025. EL lost 325.83 points, or 87.07%, in 170 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (3.40) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. EL may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 48.37 and reached 120.27 on January 22, 2026. EL gained -71.90 points, or -148.65%, in 41 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (117.06). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 28, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 7, 2026 at 103.74 and reached 120.27 on January 22, 2026. EL gained -16.53 points, or -15.93%, in 15 days. The price is now at the 15.61% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 8, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.94
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 78.32
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.88
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.63
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.66
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.80
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.84
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 121.60
Daily Stochastic Crossing 118.71
Price 117.69
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 117.20
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 117.06
Parabolic System 113.96
20 Day Moving Average 111.53
50 Day Moving Average 103.44
Lower Bollinger Band 102.68
Quarterly Trendline Support 100.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 5
Industry Personal Products 56
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 112.50
Low Date 01/20/2026
High 120.27
High Date 01/22/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 103.74
Low Date 01/07/2026
High 120.27
High Date 01/22/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 84.61
Low Date 11/07/2025
High 120.27
High Date 01/22/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 117.06
Support 100.84
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 120.27
High Date 01/22/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 35.52
Support 3.40
High 374.20
High Date 01/03/2022
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.