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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/3/2025 -
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iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergence
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger BandThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was a first positive week for the iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA). During the week, the EFA gained 2.45 points, or 2.64%, and closed at 95.08 on Friday, October 3, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since August 8, 2025. Weekly volume was 24% above average.

Long-term trend: [See EFA long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 54.61 and reached 95.27 on October 3, 2025. EFA gained -40.66 points, or -74.46%, in 155 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See EFA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 72.15 and reached 95.27 on October 3, 2025. EFA gained -23.12 points, or -32.04%, in 25 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EFA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EFA short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 86.74 and reached 95.27 on October 3, 2025. EFA gained -8.53 points, or -9.83%, in 63 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (92.53) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EFA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (2.99%) is close to one year low (2.76%). It is 54.73% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.30
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.11
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.54
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.93
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.22
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.45
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.46 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 95.08
Daily Stochastic Crossing 94.95
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 94.78
Upper Bollinger Band 94.49
Weekly Trendline Resistance 94.05
20 Day Moving Average 93.18
Weekly Trendline Support 92.53
Parabolic System 91.78
50 Day Moving Average 91.68
Lower Bollinger Band 91.67
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 91.53
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 95.27
High Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 94.05
Support 92.53
Low 86.74
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 95.27
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 72.15
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 95.27
High Date 10/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 54.61
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 95.27
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 45.73
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 95.27
High Date 10/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.