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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 10/10/2025 -
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Dover Corp. (DOV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Dover Corp. (DOV). During the week, the DOV dropped -5.16 points, or -3.10%, and closed at 161.45 on Friday, October 10, 2025. On Friday DOV has reached 160.4 - the lowest level since April 25, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since August 1, 2025. DOV was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See DOV long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on July 24, 2025 at 195.23 and reached 160.40 on October 10, 2025. DOV lost 34.83 points, or 17.84%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (169.30) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DOV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 22, 2025 at 183.84 and reached 160.40 on October 10, 2025. DOV lost 23.44 points, or 12.75%, in 7 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (164.29) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DOV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 5, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DOV short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 18, 2025 at 174.37 and reached 160.40 on October 10, 2025. DOV lost 13.97 points, or 8.01%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 7.52% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DOV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 2, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.68
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 81.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.94
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.62
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.07 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 21.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.55
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.66
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.12
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 174.21
50 Day Moving Average 173.66
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 171.26
Quarterly Trendline Support 169.30
Parabolic System 168.38
20 Day Moving Average 167.66
Monthly Trendline Resistance 166.41
Monthly Trendline Support 164.29
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 162.19
Lower Bollinger Band 161.51
Daily Stochastic Crossing 161.45
Price 161.45
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 5
Industry Industrial Machinery 53
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 174.37
High Date 09/18/2025
Low 160.40
Low Date 10/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 174.37
High Date 09/18/2025
Low 160.40
Low Date 10/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 166.41
Support 164.29
High 183.84
High Date 08/22/2025
Low 160.40
Low Date 10/10/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 171.26
Support 169.30
High 195.23
High Date 07/24/2025
Low 160.40
Low Date 10/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 222.30
High Date 02/04/2025
Low 143.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.