The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/12/2025 -
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llar Tree Inc. (DLTR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 126.52
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the llar Tree Inc. (DLTR). During the week, the DLTR gained 7.43 points, or 6.07%, and closed at 129.87 on Friday, December 12, 2025. Weekly volume was -31% below average.

DLTR is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DLTR long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 21, 2022 at 177.19 and reached 60.49 on November 12, 2024. DLTR lost 116.70 points, or 65.86%, in 133 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (126.52). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DLTR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 7, 2025 at 84.71 and reached 130.60 on December 12, 2025. DLTR gained -45.89 points, or -54.17%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (105.68) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DLTR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 28, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DLTR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 98.40 and reached 130.60 on December 12, 2025. DLTR gained -32.20 points, or -32.72%, in 22 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 124.42 and resistance is at 138.39. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DLTR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 25, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 103.20% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.59
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.74
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 90.03
Strong Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.71
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.60
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.41
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.29
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.34
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 138.39
Upper Bollinger Band 133.83
Price 129.87
Daily Stochastic Crossing 128.01
Yearly Trendline Resistance 126.52
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 125.54
Weekly Trendline Support 124.42
Parabolic System 117.36
20 Day Moving Average 111.55
Monthly Trendline Support 105.68
50 Day Moving Average 103.45
Lower Bollinger Band 94.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 8
Industry General Merchandise Stores 98
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 117.43
Low Date 12/08/2025
High 130.60
High Date 12/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 138.39
Support 124.42
Low 98.40
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 130.60
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 103.26
Support 105.68
Low 84.71
Low Date 10/07/2025
High 130.60
High Date 12/12/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 60.49
Low Date 11/12/2024
High 130.60
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 126.52
Support 19.57
High 177.19
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 60.49
Low Date 11/12/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.