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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/2/2026 -
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Coty, Inc (COTY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineTrend resistance at 2.11
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergenceA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was a first positive week after 5 consecutive negative weeks for the Coty, Inc (COTY). During the week, the COTY gained 0.05 points, or 2.50%, and closed at 2.05 on Thursday, April 2, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since February 20, 2026. Weekly volume was 12% above average.

Long-term trend: [See COTY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 27, 2024 at 13.30 and reached 1.95 on April 2, 2026. COTY lost 11.35 points, or 85.34%, in 109 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (2.11). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See COTY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 4, 2026 at 3.47 and reached 1.95 on April 2, 2026. COTY lost 1.52 points, or 43.80%, in 8 weeks. The price is now at the 6.58% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See COTY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 6, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See COTY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 20, 2026 at 2.71 and reached 1.95 on April 2, 2026. COTY lost 0.76 points, or 28.04%, in 41 days. The price is now at the 13.16% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See COTY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 1, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (2.07) comes close to the price (2.05). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 25.71
Bullish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 88.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.84
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.58
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.16
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 27.27
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 3.54
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 13.68
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.52
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 2.54
Upper Bollinger Band 2.41
20 Day Moving Average 2.15
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 2.11
Parabolic System 2.07
Price 2.05
Daily Stochastic Crossing 2.01
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 2.00
Lower Bollinger Band 1.95
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 7
Industry Personal Products 25
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 2.71
High Date 02/20/2026
Low 1.95
Low Date 04/02/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 3.47
High Date 02/04/2026
Low 1.95
Low Date 04/02/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 5.34
High Date 06/16/2025
Low 1.95
Low Date 04/02/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 2.11
Support 0.81
High 13.30
High Date 02/27/2024
Low 1.95
Low Date 04/02/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 13.46
High Date 07/12/2023
Low 1.95
Low Date 04/02/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.