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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 7/3/2025 -
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Centene Corporation (CNC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold industryWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandRelative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was the negative week for the Centene Corporation (CNC). During the week, the CNC dropped -20.68 points, or -38.30%, and closed at 33.31 on Thursday, July 3, 2025. Weekly volume was 646% above average.

CNC is a member of Managed Health Care Industry. Managed Health Care is the sixth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CNC long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 26, 2024 at 81.42 and reached 33.30 on July 3, 2025. CNC lost 48.12 points, or 59.10%, in 70 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Medium-term trend: [See CNC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 3, 2025 at 66.81 and reached 33.30 on July 3, 2025. CNC lost 33.51 points, or 50.16%, in 21 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CNC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 30, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CNC short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 66.03 and reached 33.30 on July 3, 2025. CNC lost 32.73 points, or 49.57%, in 86 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CNC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (77.09%) is close to one year high (31.77%). It is 502.08% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 13.93
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 33.51
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.72
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.89
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.13
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.24
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 14.34
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.89
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 64.32
50 Day Moving Average 56.67
Parabolic System 56.55
20 Day Moving Average 52.64
Daily Stochastic Crossing 41.15
Lower Bollinger Band 38.66
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 36.24
Price 33.31
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Health Care 3
Industry Managed Health Care 6
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
High 66.03
High Date 04/08/2025
Low 33.30
Low Date 07/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 66.81
High Date 02/03/2025
Low 33.30
Low Date 07/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 80.59
High Date 09/03/2024
Low 33.30
Low Date 07/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 81.42
High Date 02/26/2024
Low 33.30
Low Date 07/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 98.53
High Date 08/15/2022
Low 33.30
Low Date 07/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.