The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 3/13/2026 -
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CF Industries (CF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtRelative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are strongly overbought
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overbought20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was a fifth consecutive positive week for the CF Industries (CF). During the week, the CF gained 13.79 points, or 11.91%, and closed at 129.57 on Friday, March 13, 2026. Weekly volume was 244% above average.

CF is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 19.73 and reached 137.44 on March 12, 2026. CF gained -117.71 points, or -596.60%, in 312 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (75.02) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 1, 2023 at 60.08 and reached 137.44 on March 12, 2026. CF gained -77.36 points, or -128.76%, in 145 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (75.02) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 16, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 7, 2026 at 75.87 and reached 137.44 on March 12, 2026. CF gained -61.57 points, or -81.15%, in 64 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (107.93) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since February 27, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (36.18%) is close to one year high (23.00%). It is 183.94% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 11.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.20
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.03
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.98
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 95.87
Strong Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.31
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.56
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.54
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 132.03
Daily Stochastic Crossing 130.50
Price 129.57
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 127.74
Weekly Trendline Resistance 127.46
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 115.65
Parabolic System 113.83
Monthly Trendline Resistance 113.48
Weekly Trendline Support 107.93
20 Day Moving Average 105.70
50 Day Moving Average 95.27
Lower Bollinger Band 85.15
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 10
Industry Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 98
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 106.71
Low Date 03/10/2026
High 137.44
High Date 03/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 127.46
Support 107.93
Low 75.87
Low Date 01/07/2026
High 137.44
High Date 03/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 113.48
Support 99.29
Low 75.42
Low Date 12/10/2025
High 137.44
High Date 03/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 115.65
Support 75.02
Low 60.08
Low Date 06/01/2023
High 137.44
High Date 03/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 95.43
Support 75.02
Low 19.73
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 137.44
High Date 03/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.