The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/13/2026 -
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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). During the week, the CAT gained 48.00 points, or 6.61%, and closed at 774.20 on Friday, February 13, 2026. Weekly volume was 33% above average.

CAT is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See CAT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on January 20, 2016 at 56.36 and reached 789.81 on February 12, 2026. CAT gained -733.45 points, or -1301.37%, in 525 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (241.31) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CAT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 27, 2022 at 160.60 and reached 789.81 on February 12, 2026. CAT gained -629.21 points, or -391.79%, in 176 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (307.08) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CAT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CAT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 17, 2025 at 557.46 and reached 789.81 on February 12, 2026. CAT gained -232.35 points, or -41.68%, in 57 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (677.11) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CAT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 28, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 79.22
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.65
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.11
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 30.64
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.90
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.13
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.15
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 55.17
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 794.22
Daily Stochastic Crossing 775.60
Price 774.20
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 764.60
Parabolic System 737.86
Weekly Trendline Resistance 712.08
Monthly Trendline Resistance 701.18
20 Day Moving Average 685.96
Weekly Trendline Support 677.11
50 Day Moving Average 633.96
Monthly Trendline Support 633.83
Lower Bollinger Band 597.36
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 9
Industry Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks 120
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 619.26
Low Date 01/26/2026
High 789.81
High Date 02/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 712.08
Support 677.11
Low 557.46
Low Date 12/17/2025
High 789.81
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 701.18
Support 633.83
Low 267.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 789.81
High Date 02/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 534.29
Support 307.08
Low 160.60
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 789.81
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 348.21
Support 241.31
Low 56.36
Low Date 01/20/2016
High 789.81
High Date 02/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.