The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). During the week, the CAT gained 35.02 points, or 8.12%, and closed at 466.54 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was 47% above average.

Long-term trend: [See CAT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on January 20, 2016 at 56.36 and reached 472.12 on September 19, 2025. CAT gained -415.76 points, or -737.69%, in 504 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (232.61) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CAT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 27, 2022 at 160.60 and reached 472.12 on September 19, 2025. CAT gained -311.52 points, or -193.97%, in 155 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 290.99 and resistance is at 499.23. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CAT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CAT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 18, 2025 at 405.46 and reached 472.12 on September 19, 2025. CAT gained -66.66 points, or -16.44%, in 32 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (421.07) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CAT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 11, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 85.90
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.62
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 92.50
Strong Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.47
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.12
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 75.75
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.27
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 17.33 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 499.23
Daily Stochastic Crossing 469.93
Price 466.54
Upper Bollinger Band 463.63
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 457.05
Parabolic System 434.79
20 Day Moving Average 432.39
50 Day Moving Average 424.95
Weekly Trendline Support 421.07
Weekly Trendline Resistance 410.52
Lower Bollinger Band 405.93
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 7
Industry Construction Machinery & Heavy Trucks 60
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 410.52
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 472.12
High Date 09/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 410.52
Support 421.07
Low 405.46
Low Date 08/18/2025
High 472.12
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 267.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 472.12
High Date 09/19/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 499.23
Support 290.99
Low 160.60
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 472.12
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 339.51
Support 232.61
Low 56.36
Low Date 01/20/2016
High 472.12
High Date 09/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.