The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Price vs. 200 Day Moving Average:Near
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Moving Average Crossover - stock market timing alerts.

The moving average is one of the oldest analytical tools for stock market alerts. It shows the average value of the stock price over a period of time and is used to emphasize the the direction of a trend. While the price is below the moving average, it is considered as bearish behavior in relation to the trend length being viewed.

When the price falls from the level above the moving average to the level below the moving average, it warns that the price trend being viewed may be weakening, and it presents stock market timing alerts. The moving average is a lagging indicator of the price trend.

Moving average and stock price crossover is a stock trading signal. The basic interpretation is to buy when the stock price moves above its moving average and sell when the price moves below its moving average. The length of the moving average should match the trend time frame. We use a 20-day moving average crossover to identify weekly trend and 50-day moving average crossover for monthly trend stock market alerts.

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- 5/10/2024 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved above oversold areaBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the pricePrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV gave back -0.01 points, or -0.01%, and closed at 76.21 on Friday, May 10, 2024. Weekly volume was -34% below average.

Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on July 31, 2020 at 83.30 and reached 74.03 on October 21, 2022. BSV lost 9.27 points, or 11.13%, in 116 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (74.94) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. BSV may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 21, 2022 at 74.03 and reached 77.32 on January 12, 2024. BSV gained -3.29 points, or -4.44%, in 64 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 74.62 and resistance is at 77.42. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 8, 2024. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 12, 2024 at 77.32 and reached 75.72 on May 1, 2024. BSV lost 1.60 points, or 2.07%, in 110 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 75.66 and resistance is at 76.30. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 26, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (76.11) comes close to the price (76.21). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 62.96
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.80
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.76
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.06
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.55
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 66.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.36
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 34.15
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.13
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 77.42
Upper Bollinger Band 76.43
Weekly Trendline Resistance 76.30
50 Day Moving Average 76.29
Daily Stochastic Crossing 76.24
Price 76.21
Parabolic System 76.11
20 Day Moving Average 76.02
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 75.99
Lower Bollinger Band 75.82
Weekly Trendline Support 75.66
Yearly Trendline Support 74.94
Yearly Trendline Resistance 74.88
Quarterly Trendline Support 74.62
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 75.72
Low Date 05/01/2024
High 76.31
High Date 05/06/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 76.30
Support 75.66
High 77.32
High Date 01/12/2024
Low 75.72
Low Date 05/01/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 74.61
Low Date 10/19/2023
High 77.32
High Date 01/12/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 77.42
Support 74.62
Low 74.03
Low Date 10/21/2022
High 77.32
High Date 01/12/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 74.88
Support 74.94
High 83.30
High Date 07/31/2020
Low 74.03
Low Date 10/21/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.