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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 8/8/2025 -
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Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend resistance at 73.51
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the pricePrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND). During the week, the BND gave back -0.17 points, or -0.23%, and closed at 73.42 on Friday, August 8, 2025. BND was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See BND long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 16, 2024 at 75.67 and reached 71.10 on January 13, 2025. BND lost 4.57 points, or 6.04%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (73.51). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BND medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 11, 2025 at 71.41 and reached 73.70 on August 5, 2025. BND gained -2.29 points, or -3.21%, in 16 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 72.78 and resistance is at 73.73. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BND weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 20, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BND short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 16, 2025 at 72.52 and reached 73.70 on August 5, 2025. BND gained -1.18 points, or -1.63%, in 20 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BND daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since July 24, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (73.16) comes close to the price (73.42). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.18
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 16.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.46
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 75.56
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.14
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.39
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 28.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 69.73
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 65.46
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.01
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 73.94
Weekly Trendline Resistance 73.73
Daily Stochastic Crossing 73.59
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 73.51
Price 73.42
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 73.37
20 Day Moving Average 73.16
Parabolic System 73.16
50 Day Moving Average 72.99
Weekly Trendline Support 72.78
Lower Bollinger Band 72.60
Quarterly Trendline Support 71.82
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 72.52
Low Date 07/16/2025
High 73.70
High Date 08/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 73.73
Support 72.78
Low 71.41
Low Date 04/11/2025
High 73.70
High Date 08/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 71.10
Low Date 01/13/2025
High 74.34
High Date 04/04/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 73.51
Support 71.82
High 75.67
High Date 09/16/2024
Low 71.10
Low Date 01/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 67.99
Low Date 10/23/2023
High 75.67
High Date 09/16/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.