The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Support

Uptrend Support stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Support stock alert indicates that price is near long-term support trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high. The strategy here is to take advantage of established uptrend price pullback and entering the long position just prior to the continuation of the trend. The strategy has relatively low risk.

Uptrend Support

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- 8/1/2025 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldTrend support at 181.91
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger Band
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It was the negative week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB dropped -17.31 points, or -8.58%, and closed at 184.44 on Friday, August 1, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since April 4, 2025. Weekly volume was 55% above average.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (238.56) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 24, 2023 at 153.07 and reached 239.30 on November 27, 2024. AVB gained -86.23 points, or -56.33%, in 87 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (181.91) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 209.86 and reached 181.23 on August 1, 2025. AVB lost 28.63 points, or 13.64%, in 39 days. The price is now at the 11.21% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.26
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 73.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.25
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 25.41
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.50
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.83
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 80.60
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 34.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 31.20
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.26
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 209.27
50 Day Moving Average 202.68
20 Day Moving Average 199.91
Parabolic System 199.55
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 190.66
Lower Bollinger Band 188.66
Daily Stochastic Crossing 187.34
Price 184.44
Quarterly Trendline Support 181.91
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 3
Industry REIT - Residential 25
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 209.86
High Date 06/23/2025
Low 181.23
Low Date 08/01/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 213.34
High Date 05/02/2025
Low 181.23
Low Date 08/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 180.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Support
Resistance 259.20
Support 181.91
Low 153.07
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 298.28
Support 238.56
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.