The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 4/17/2025 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARTrend resistance at 205.92The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB gained 10.38 points, or 5.38%, and closed at 203.38 on Thursday, April 17, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since November 8, 2024. Weekly volume was 77% above average.

AVB is a member of Real Estate Sector. Real Estate is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (235.23) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 24, 2023 at 153.07 and reached 239.30 on November 27, 2024. AVB gained -86.23 points, or -56.33%, in 87 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 178.39 and resistance is at 250.62. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 4, 2025 at 230.20 and reached 180.40 on April 9, 2025. AVB lost 49.80 points, or 21.63%, in 36 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (205.92). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 151.84% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.93
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 45.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 64.15
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.67
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.67
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.44
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 65.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 25.25
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 35.37
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.01
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Support 235.23
Upper Bollinger Band 222.47
50 Day Moving Average 212.54
Weekly Trendline Resistance 205.92
20 Day Moving Average 204.38
Price 203.38
Daily Stochastic Crossing 197.98
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 193.99
Lower Bollinger Band 184.59
Parabolic System 182.57
Quarterly Trendline Support 178.39
Weekly Trendline Support 171.60
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 9
Industry REIT - Residential 79
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 180.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 205.00
High Date 04/17/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 205.92
Support 171.60
High 230.20
High Date 03/04/2025
Low 180.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 180.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 250.62
Support 178.39
Low 153.07
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 294.96
Support 235.23
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.