The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 12/12/2025 -
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Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK). During the week, the ALK gained 1.75 points, or 3.52%, and closed at 51.40 on Friday, December 12, 2025. Weekly volume was 17% above average.

ALK is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ALK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 1, 2023 at 30.75 and reached 78.08 on February 19, 2025. ALK gained -47.33 points, or -153.92%, in 68 weeks. The price is now at the 56.37% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See ALK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 12, 2025 at 65.88 and reached 37.63 on November 20, 2025. ALK lost 28.25 points, or 42.88%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (34.89) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. ALK may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ALK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 26, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ALK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 37.63 and reached 53.88 on December 12, 2025. ALK gained -16.25 points, or -43.18%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 15.26% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ALK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following links to access Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 20, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 87.63
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.39
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 90.61
Strong Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.85
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 34.74
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 46.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 35.51
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 44.65
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.08
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 55.87
Daily Stochastic Crossing 52.91
Price 51.40
Parabolic System 47.66
50 Day Moving Average 44.87
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 44.41
20 Day Moving Average 44.23
Lower Bollinger Band 36.70
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 9
Industry Airlines 96
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 37.63
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 53.88
High Date 12/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 32.62
Support 34.89
High 65.88
High Date 09/12/2025
Low 37.63
Low Date 11/20/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 78.08
High Date 02/19/2025
Low 37.63
Low Date 11/20/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.75
Low Date 11/01/2023
High 78.08
High Date 02/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 20.02
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 78.08
High Date 02/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.