The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 2/20/2026 -
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Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sector
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineBearish Thrusting CandlestickThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK). During the week, the ALK dropped -2.69 points, or -4.87%, and closed at 52.58 on Friday, February 20, 2026. Weekly volume was -18% below average.

ALK is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ALK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 20.02 and reached 78.08 on February 19, 2025. ALK gained -58.06 points, or -290.01%, in 257 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 37.52 and resistance is at 79.07. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ALK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 19, 2025 at 78.08 and reached 37.63 on November 20, 2025. ALK lost 40.45 points, or 51.81%, in 39 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 36.73 and resistance is at 56.43. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ALK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 12, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ALK short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 9, 2026 at 60.63 and reached 51.42 on February 20, 2026. ALK lost 9.21 points, or 15.19%, in 11 days. The price is now at the 12.60% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ALK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See ALK candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Thrusting Candlestick pattern. This pattern occurs in a downtrend and it shows a rally failure in a down market. This is a weak continuation pattern. The reliability of the Bearish Thrusting pattern is low. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Thrusting Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.76
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 67.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 23.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 36.57
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.63
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.48
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 38.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.83
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.22
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.56
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 62.93
Upper Bollinger Band 60.20
Parabolic System 57.97
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 57.75
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 56.43
20 Day Moving Average 54.65
Daily Stochastic Crossing 53.34
Price 52.58
50 Day Moving Average 52.16
Monthly Trendline Support 51.05
Lower Bollinger Band 48.33
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 9
Industry Airlines 62
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 60.63
High Date 02/09/2026
Low 51.42
Low Date 02/20/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 46.38
Low Date 01/14/2026
High 60.63
High Date 02/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 62.93
Support 51.05
Low 37.63
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 60.63
High Date 02/09/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 56.43
Support 36.73
High 78.08
High Date 02/19/2025
Low 37.63
Low Date 11/20/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 79.07
Support 37.52
Low 20.02
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 78.08
High Date 02/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.