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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/25/2025 -
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Align Technology Inc. (ALGN) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved above oversold areaTrend resistance at 143.27
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal linePrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Align Technology Inc. (ALGN). During the week, the ALGN gained 11.99 points, or 6.99%, and closed at 183.40 on Friday, April 25, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since January 17, 2025. Weekly volume was 43% above average.

Long-term trend: [See ALGN long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 23, 2021 at 737.45 and reached 141.70 on April 8, 2025. ALGN lost 595.75 points, or 80.79%, in 184 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (143.27). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ALGN medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 18, 2024 at 262.87 and reached 141.70 on April 8, 2025. ALGN lost 121.17 points, or 46.10%, in 28 weeks. The price is now at the 34.41% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ALGN weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 14, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ALGN short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 141.70 and reached 186.28 on April 23, 2025. ALGN gained -44.58 points, or -31.46%, in 15 days. The price is now at the 6.46% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ALGN daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 8, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.81
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.34
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.14
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.16
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.01
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 61.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 25.46
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 34.73
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -16.45
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 189.91
Price 183.40
Daily Stochastic Crossing 183.08
Yearly Trendline Support 182.80
50 Day Moving Average 172.67
Parabolic System 168.22
20 Day Moving Average 164.71
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 155.22
Lower Bollinger Band 149.99
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Health Care 5
Industry Health Care Supplies 23
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 141.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 186.28
High Date 04/23/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 262.87
High Date 09/18/2024
Low 141.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 335.40
High Date 03/21/2024
Low 141.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 413.20
High Date 07/27/2023
Low 141.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 143.27
Support 182.80
High 737.45
High Date 09/23/2021
Low 141.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.