The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 10/10/2025 -
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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG). During the week, the AJG dropped -8.74 points, or -2.82%, and closed at 301.74 on Friday, October 10, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since August 1, 2025. Weekly volume was -40% below average.

AJG is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AJG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 4, 2009 at 14.82 and reached 351.23 on June 3, 2025. AJG gained -336.41 points, or -2269.97%, in 847 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (85.20) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AJG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 3, 2025 at 351.23 and reached 277.53 on August 1, 2025. AJG lost 73.70 points, or 20.98%, in 8 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (290.60) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AJG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 25, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AJG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 16, 2025 at 285.80 and reached 313.55 on October 3, 2025. AJG gained -27.75 points, or -9.71%, in 17 days. The price is now at the 42.56% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AJG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 52.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 33.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 40.13
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.16
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.04
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.70
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 63.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 64.72
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 49.14
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 316.04
Parabolic System 312.60
Daily Stochastic Crossing 305.02
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 304.71
20 Day Moving Average 302.82
Price 301.74
50 Day Moving Average 298.77
Lower Bollinger Band 291.71
Monthly Trendline Support 290.60
Monthly Trendline Resistance 280.76
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Insurance Brokers 56
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 285.80
Low Date 09/16/2025
High 313.55
High Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 277.53
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 313.55
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 280.76
Support 290.60
High 351.23
High Date 06/03/2025
Low 277.53
Low Date 08/01/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 35.96
Low Date 01/20/2016
High 351.23
High Date 06/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 152.69
Support 85.20
Low 14.82
Low Date 03/04/2009
High 351.23
High Date 06/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.