The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/18/2025 -
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Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was the negative week for the Advance Auto Parts (AAP). During the week, the AAP dropped -1.43 points, or -2.29%, and closed at 61.13 on Friday, July 18, 2025. Weekly volume was -14% below average.

Long-term trend: [See AAP long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 5, 2022 at 244.55 and reached 28.89 on April 9, 2025. AAP lost 215.66 points, or 88.19%, in 170 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (25.92) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. AAP may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AAP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 21, 2024 at 88.56 and reached 28.89 on April 9, 2025. AAP lost 59.67 points, or 67.38%, in 54 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (24.67) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. AAP may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AAP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AAP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 30, 2025 at 44.81 and reached 63.46 on July 17, 2025. AAP gained -18.65 points, or -41.62%, in 17 days. The price is now at the 12.49% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AAP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since July 7, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 87.88
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.76
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 88.57
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.53
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.26
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.73
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.51
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.07
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 68.10
Daily Stochastic Crossing 62.42
Price 61.13
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 59.34
Parabolic System 58.95
20 Day Moving Average 54.25
50 Day Moving Average 48.07
Lower Bollinger Band 43.36
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 7
Industry Automotive Retail 111
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 63.46
High Date 07/17/2025
Low 60.67
Low Date 07/18/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 44.81
Low Date 06/30/2025
High 63.46
High Date 07/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 28.89
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 63.46
High Date 07/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 30.10
Support 24.67
High 88.56
High Date 03/21/2024
Low 28.89
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 13.32
Support 25.92
High 244.55
High Date 01/05/2022
Low 28.89
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.