The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 8/15/2025 -
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Nasdaq (^IXIC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the priceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal line
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Nasdaq (^IXIC). During the week, the ^IXIC climbed 172.96 points, or 0.81%, and closed at 21622.98 on Friday, August 15, 2025. Weekly volume was -100% below average.

Long-term trend: [See ^IXIC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 10088.83 and reached 21803.75 on August 13, 2025. ^IXIC gained -11714.92 points, or -116.12%, in 147 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 15592.24 and resistance is at 22873.33. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ^IXIC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 14784.03 and reached 21803.75 on August 13, 2025. ^IXIC gained -7019.72 points, or -47.48%, in 18 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ^IXIC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ^IXIC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 20560.17 and reached 21803.75 on August 13, 2025. ^IXIC gained -1243.58 points, or -6.05%, in 12 days. The price is now at the 14.54% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ^IXIC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (21421.56) comes close to the price (21622.98). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.35
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.19
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.65
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 299.62
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.65
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.95
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.72
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 500.47
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 22873.33
Upper Bollinger Band 21769.51
Daily Stochastic Crossing 21722.70
Price 21622.98
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 21605.55
Parabolic System 21421.56
20 Day Moving Average 21208.93
Lower Bollinger Band 20615.18
50 Day Moving Average 20544.56
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 20560.17
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 21803.75
High Date 08/13/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 20560.17
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 21803.75
High Date 08/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 14784.03
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 21803.75
High Date 08/13/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 22873.33
Support 15592.24
Low 10088.83
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 21803.75
High Date 08/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 1265.52
Low Date 03/09/2009
High 21803.75
High Date 08/13/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.