The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/3/2025 -
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S&P 500 (^GSPC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 6764.36
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR
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It was a first positive week for the S&P 500 (^GSPC). During the week, the ^GSPC gained 72.09 points, or 1.09%, and closed at 6715.79 on Friday, October 3, 2025. Weekly volume was 55% above average.

Long-term trend: [See ^GSPC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 3491.58 and reached 6750.87 on October 3, 2025. ^GSPC gained -3259.29 points, or -93.35%, in 155 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (6764.36). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ^GSPC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 4835.04 and reached 6750.87 on October 3, 2025. ^GSPC gained -1915.83 points, or -39.62%, in 25 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ^GSPC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ^GSPC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 25, 2025 at 6569.22 and reached 6750.87 on October 3, 2025. ^GSPC gained -181.65 points, or -2.77%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 19.31% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ^GSPC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.29
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.26
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.61
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 62.37 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.94
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.02
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.19
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 179.17 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 6764.36
Upper Bollinger Band 6748.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 6731.40
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 6725.75
Price 6715.79
20 Day Moving Average 6627.97
Parabolic System 6592.44
50 Day Moving Average 6496.92
Lower Bollinger Band 6496.58
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 6569.22
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 6750.87
High Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 6343.86
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 6750.87
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 4835.04
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 6750.87
High Date 10/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 6764.36
Support 5115.51
Low 3491.58
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 6750.87
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 666.79
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 6750.87
High Date 10/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.