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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 8/15/2025 -
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S&P 500 (^GSPC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal line
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the S&P 500 (^GSPC). During the week, the ^GSPC climbed 60.35 points, or 0.94%, and closed at 6449.80 on Friday, August 15, 2025. Weekly volume was 39% above average.

Long-term trend: [See ^GSPC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 3491.58 and reached 6481.34 on August 15, 2025. ^GSPC gained -2989.76 points, or -85.63%, in 148 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 5042.23 and resistance is at 6630.76. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ^GSPC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 4835.04 and reached 6481.34 on August 15, 2025. ^GSPC gained -1646.30 points, or -34.05%, in 18 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ^GSPC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ^GSPC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 6212.69 and reached 6481.34 on August 15, 2025. ^GSPC gained -268.65 points, or -4.32%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 11.74% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ^GSPC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.95
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.50
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.32
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 57.96
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.22
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.85
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.07
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 111.57
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 6630.76
Upper Bollinger Band 6474.00
Daily Stochastic Crossing 6468.94
Price 6449.80
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 6433.00
20 Day Moving Average 6366.74
Parabolic System 6327.86
Lower Bollinger Band 6243.23
50 Day Moving Average 6227.81
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 6212.69
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 6481.34
High Date 08/15/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 6212.69
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 6481.34
High Date 08/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 4835.04
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 6481.34
High Date 08/15/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 6630.76
Support 5042.23
Low 3491.58
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 6481.34
High Date 08/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 666.79
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 6481.34
High Date 08/15/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.