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- 8/1/2025 -
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Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergencePrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV). During the week, the XLV dropped -5.35 points, or -3.92%, and closed at 131.13 on Friday, August 1, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since May 9, 2025. Weekly volume was 82% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLV long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 4, 2024 at 159.64 and reached 127.35 on May 15, 2025. XLV lost 32.29 points, or 20.23%, in 36 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 123.23 and resistance is at 141.36. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 15, 2025 at 127.35 and reached 137.76 on July 1, 2025. XLV gained -10.41 points, or -8.17%, in 6 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 3, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLV short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 10, 2025 at 137.63 and reached 129.86 on August 1, 2025. XLV lost 7.77 points, or 5.65%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 16.34% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.44
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 89.20
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 41.60
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 30.93
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.10 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.13
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 83.70
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 58.54
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 40.83
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.84
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 141.36
Upper Bollinger Band 137.45
Parabolic System 136.78
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 134.48
20 Day Moving Average 134.07
50 Day Moving Average 133.86
Daily Stochastic Crossing 132.26
Price 131.13
Lower Bollinger Band 130.22
Quarterly Trendline Support 123.23
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 137.63
High Date 07/10/2025
Low 129.86
Low Date 08/01/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 127.35
Low Date 05/15/2025
High 137.76
High Date 07/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 150.30
High Date 03/03/2025
Low 127.35
Low Date 05/15/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 141.36
Support 123.23
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Low 127.35
Low Date 05/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 21.63
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.