The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 12/12/2025 -
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Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Bearish Deliberation CandlestickA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was a first positive week for the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV). During the week, the XLV climbed 0.80 points, or 0.52%, and closed at 154.06 on Friday, December 12, 2025. Weekly volume was 14% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLV long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 4, 2024 at 159.64 and reached 127.35 on May 15, 2025. XLV lost 32.29 points, or 20.23%, in 36 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (115.48) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 15, 2025 at 127.35 and reached 158.95 on November 26, 2025. XLV gained -31.60 points, or -24.81%, in 27 weeks. The price is now at the 15.47% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 3, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 7, 2025 at 127.96 and reached 158.95 on November 26, 2025. XLV gained -30.99 points, or -24.22%, in 111 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 143.05 and resistance is at 162.81. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 2, 2025.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (154.56) comes close to the price (154.06). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See XLV candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern. This pattern occurs in an uptrend;it appears after a sustained upward move and suggests that the rally is losing strength and a reversal is possible. The reliability of the Bearish Deliberation pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.51
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 57.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 29.81
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 40.39
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.84
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.64
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 16.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.11
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.05
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.29
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 162.81
Upper Bollinger Band 157.28
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 155.61
Parabolic System 154.56
Price 154.06
20 Day Moving Average 153.88
Daily Stochastic Crossing 152.01
50 Day Moving Average 148.74
Lower Bollinger Band 147.95
Weekly Trendline Support 143.05
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 133.57
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
High 158.95
High Date 11/26/2025
Low 149.85
Low Date 12/09/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 162.81
Support 143.05
Low 127.96
Low Date 08/07/2025
High 158.95
High Date 11/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 127.35
Low Date 05/15/2025
High 158.95
High Date 11/26/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 133.57
Support 115.48
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Low 127.35
Low Date 05/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 21.63
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.