The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/10/2025 -
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Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was the negative week for the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV). During the week, the XLV dropped -2.71 points, or -1.87%, and closed at 142.11 on Friday, October 10, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since August 1, 2025. Weekly volume was 6% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLV long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 4, 2024 at 159.64 and reached 127.35 on May 15, 2025. XLV lost 32.29 points, or 20.23%, in 36 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (119.22) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. XLV may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 15, 2025 at 127.35 and reached 146.14 on October 3, 2025. XLV gained -18.79 points, or -14.75%, in 20 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 3, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 25, 2025 at 133.73 and reached 146.14 on October 3, 2025. XLV gained -12.41 points, or -9.28%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 32.47% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 30, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.34
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.75
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.60
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.57
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.54
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 81.88
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.94
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.29
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 147.79
Daily Stochastic Crossing 144.75
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 143.62
Price 142.11
20 Day Moving Average 139.56
Parabolic System 138.86
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 137.35
50 Day Moving Average 137.06
Lower Bollinger Band 133.22
Quarterly Trendline Support 119.22
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 133.73
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 146.14
High Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 127.96
Low Date 08/07/2025
High 146.14
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 127.35
Low Date 05/15/2025
High 146.14
High Date 10/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 137.35
Support 119.22
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Low 127.35
Low Date 05/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 21.63
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.