The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 12/26/2025 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was a first positive week for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI climbed 1.35 points, or 0.87%, and closed at 157.21 on Friday, December 26, 2025. Weekly volume was -60% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 158.46 on December 12, 2025. XLI gained -143.32 points, or -946.63%, in 875 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (100.44) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 82.75 and reached 158.46 on December 12, 2025. XLI gained -75.71 points, or -91.49%, in 167 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 121.60 and resistance is at 169.48. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 19, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 21, 2025 at 147.14 and reached 158.46 on December 12, 2025. XLI gained -11.32 points, or -7.69%, in 21 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 154.64 and resistance is at 162.57. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 26, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (157.65) comes close to the price (157.21). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 15.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.64
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.99
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.89
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.63
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 67.44
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 70.12
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.15
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 169.48
Weekly Trendline Resistance 162.57
Upper Bollinger Band 158.81
Parabolic System 157.65
Monthly Trendline Resistance 157.21
Price 157.21
Daily Stochastic Crossing 156.74
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 155.77
20 Day Moving Average 155.28
Weekly Trendline Support 154.64
50 Day Moving Average 153.82
Lower Bollinger Band 151.81
Monthly Trendline Support 149.43
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 153.37
Low Date 12/17/2025
High 157.69
High Date 12/24/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 162.57
Support 154.64
Low 147.14
Low Date 11/21/2025
High 158.46
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rectangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 157.21
Support 149.43
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 158.46
High Date 12/12/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 169.48
Support 121.60
Low 82.75
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 158.46
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 115.09
Support 100.44
Low 15.14
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 158.46
High Date 12/12/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.