The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 8/14/2026 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a first positive week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE gained 4.41 points, or 7.67%, and closed at 61.91 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Weekly volume was -38% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 37.25 and reached 63.46 on March 30, 2026. XLE gained -26.21 points, or -70.36%, in 50 weeks. The price is now at the 5.91% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 30, 2026 at 63.46 and reached 52.62 on July 1, 2026. XLE lost 10.84 points, or 17.08%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (52.14) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. XLE may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 8, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 7, 2026 at 57.11 and reached 62.11 on August 14, 2026. XLE gained -5.00 points, or -8.76%, in 7 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. Daily Relative Strength Index and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.24
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 97.02
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.82
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.86 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.99
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.24
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 67.90
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.84
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Daily Stochastic Crossing 61.94
Price 61.91
Upper Bollinger Band 61.57
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 60.05
20 Day Moving Average 59.16
Monthly Trendline Resistance 58.82
Parabolic System 58.03
50 Day Moving Average 56.97
Lower Bollinger Band 56.48
Monthly Trendline Support 52.14
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 57.11
Low Date 08/07/2026
High 62.11
High Date 08/14/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 52.62
Low Date 07/01/2026
High 62.11
High Date 08/14/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 58.82
Support 52.14
High 63.46
High Date 03/30/2026
Low 52.62
Low Date 07/01/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 63.46
High Date 03/30/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 11.44
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 63.46
High Date 03/30/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.