The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 3/13/2026 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtBearish Advance Block CandlestickThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a twelfth consecutive positive week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE gained 1.13 points, or 2.00%, and closed at 57.70 on Friday, March 13, 2026. Weekly volume was 80% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 37.25 and reached 58.22 on March 12, 2026. XLE gained -20.97 points, or -56.30%, in 48 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (45.72) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 16, 2025 at 42.35 and reached 58.22 on March 12, 2026. XLE gained -15.87 points, or -37.47%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (45.71) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 16, 2025 at 43.77 and reached 58.22 on March 12, 2026. XLE gained -14.45 points, or -33.01%, in 86 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 57.39 and resistance is at 59.31. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since February 23, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See XLE candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Advance Block Candlestick pattern. This pattern occurs in an uptrend; it is not a top reversal pattern, but it might precede a meaningful price decline. The reliability of the Bearish Advance Block pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Advance Block Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.89
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.20
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 65.04
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 73.24
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.54
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 88.35
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.74
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.42
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.93
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 59.31
Price 57.70
Upper Bollinger Band 57.62
Weekly Trendline Support 57.39
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 57.31
Daily Stochastic Crossing 57.25
20 Day Moving Average 55.80
Parabolic System 55.37
Lower Bollinger Band 53.39
50 Day Moving Average 51.90
Monthly Trendline Resistance 50.95
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 50.15
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 55.33
Low Date 03/04/2026
High 58.22
High Date 03/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 59.31
Support 57.39
Low 43.77
Low Date 12/16/2025
High 58.22
High Date 03/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 50.95
Support 45.71
Low 42.35
Low Date 10/16/2025
High 58.22
High Date 03/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 50.15
Support 45.72
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 58.22
High Date 03/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 11.44
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 58.22
High Date 03/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.