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- 8/1/2025 -
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iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT). During the week, the TLT gained 1.39 points, or 1.61%, and closed at 87.82 on Friday, August 1, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since May 30, 2025. Weekly volume was 18% above average.

Long-term trend: [See TLT long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2024 at 101.64 and reached 83.30 on May 22, 2025. TLT lost 18.34 points, or 18.04%, in 35 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See TLT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2025 at 94.09 and reached 83.30 on May 22, 2025. TLT lost 10.79 points, or 11.47%, in 6 weeks. The price is now at the 41.89% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TLT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 27, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TLT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 16, 2025 at 84.19 and reached 87.93 on August 1, 2025. TLT gained -3.74 points, or -4.44%, in 16 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TLT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since July 24, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.42
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 82.59
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.71
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.05
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.11
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 60.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 56.54
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 48.83
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.22
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 88.02
Price 87.82
Daily Stochastic Crossing 87.61
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 86.52
50 Day Moving Average 86.25
20 Day Moving Average 86.18
Parabolic System 85.61
Lower Bollinger Band 84.97
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 84.19
Low Date 07/16/2025
High 87.93
High Date 08/01/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 88.44
High Date 06/30/2025
Low 84.19
Low Date 07/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 94.09
High Date 04/04/2025
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 101.64
High Date 09/17/2024
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 179.70
High Date 03/09/2020
Low 82.42
Low Date 10/23/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.