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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/5/2024 -
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TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtMACD bearish divergence
Daily :MACD bearish divergenceA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageBullish Homing Pigeon Candlestick
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It was the negative week for the TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL). During the week, the TEL gave back -0.59 points, or -0.41%, and closed at 144.65 on Friday, April 5, 2024. TEL was trading at average weekly trading volume.

TEL is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See TEL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 104.76 and reached 147.96 on April 4, 2024. TEL gained -43.20 points, or -41.24%, in 77 weeks. The price is now at the 7.66% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See TEL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 27, 2023 at 115.00 and reached 147.96 on April 4, 2024. TEL gained -32.96 points, or -28.66%, in 22 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 141.71 and resistance is at 146.92. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TEL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 24, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TEL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 2, 2024 at 141.74 and reached 147.96 on April 4, 2024. TEL gained -6.22 points, or -4.39%, in 2 days. The price is now at the 53.22% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TEL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. Daily MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since March 20, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (143.35) comes close to the price (144.65). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See TEL candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Homing Pigeon Candlestick pattern. A Bullish Homing Pigeon pattern occurs in a downtrend. Market usually has a tendency to enter into a congestion phase following a Homing Pigeon pattern.The reliability of the Bullish Homing Pigeon is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Homing Pigeon Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.46
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 33.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 58.26
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 63.59
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.62 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.42
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 69.65
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.34
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.21 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 147.02
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 146.92
Daily Stochastic Crossing 145.13
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 144.87
Price 144.65
Parabolic System 143.35
50 Day Moving Average 142.57
20 Day Moving Average 142.31
Quarterly Trendline Support 141.71
Lower Bollinger Band 139.00
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 8
Industry Electronic Manufacturing Services 23
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 141.74
Low Date 04/02/2024
High 147.96
High Date 04/04/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 141.74
Low Date 04/02/2024
High 147.96
High Date 04/04/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 138.16
Low Date 03/15/2024
High 147.96
High Date 04/04/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 146.92
Support 141.71
Low 115.00
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 147.96
High Date 04/04/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 104.76
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 147.96
High Date 04/04/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.