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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/3/2025 -
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AFLAC Corporation (AFL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the AFLAC Corporation (AFL). During the week, the AFL gave back -0.50 points, or -0.48%, and closed at 104.57 on Thursday, July 3, 2025. AFL was trading at average weekly trading volume.

AFL is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AFL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 23.07 and reached 115.50 on October 4, 2024. AFL gained -92.43 points, or -400.65%, in 237 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 91.09 and resistance is at 129.98. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AFL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 3, 2025 at 113.50 and reached 97.20 on April 9, 2025. AFL lost 16.30 points, or 14.36%, in 0 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (101.17) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AFL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 1, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AFL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 12, 2025 at 100.22 and reached 106.48 on July 1, 2025. AFL gained -6.26 points, or -6.25%, in 19 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 103.73 and resistance is at 107.10. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AFL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.27
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 36.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 75.92
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 65.71
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.11
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.56
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 56.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 37.46
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 44.70
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 107.10
Parabolic System 106.51
Upper Bollinger Band 106.39
Daily Stochastic Crossing 105.24
Price 104.57
50 Day Moving Average 104.57
Weekly Trendline Support 103.73
20 Day Moving Average 103.37
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 103.11
Lower Bollinger Band 101.45
Monthly Trendline Support 101.17
Monthly Trendline Resistance 98.29
Yearly Trendline Support 91.09
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Life & Health Insurance 51
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 106.48
High Date 07/01/2025
Low 102.78
Low Date 07/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 107.10
Support 103.73
Low 100.22
Low Date 06/12/2025
High 106.48
High Date 07/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 98.29
Support 101.17
High 113.50
High Date 04/03/2025
Low 97.20
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 115.50
High Date 10/04/2024
Low 97.20
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 129.98
Support 91.09
Low 23.07
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 115.50
High Date 10/04/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.