The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 5/3/2024 -
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American Electric Power (AEP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the American Electric Power (AEP). During the week, the AEP gained 3.34 points, or 3.92%, and closed at 88.60 on Friday, May 3, 2024. It was the best weekly gain since February 16, 2024. Weekly volume was 18% above average.

AEP is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AEP long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 12, 2022 at 105.60 and reached 69.39 on October 6, 2023. AEP lost 36.21 points, or 34.29%, in 55 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (63.00) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. AEP may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AEP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 6, 2023 at 69.39 and reached 89.36 on May 1, 2024. AEP gained -19.97 points, or -28.78%, in 29 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (79.91) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AEP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 3, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AEP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 16, 2024 at 79.16 and reached 89.36 on May 1, 2024. AEP gained -10.20 points, or -12.89%, in 15 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AEP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 19, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.68
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 81.97
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.71
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.82
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.90
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 76.95
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.46
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.50 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 90.38
Price 88.60
Daily Stochastic Crossing 88.31
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 86.85
Monthly Trendline Resistance 86.79
Parabolic System 86.58
20 Day Moving Average 84.64
50 Day Moving Average 84.02
Lower Bollinger Band 80.41
Monthly Trendline Support 79.91
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 72.05
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 12
Industry Electric Utilities 115
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 79.16
Low Date 04/16/2024
High 89.36
High Date 05/01/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 75.22
Low Date 02/08/2024
High 89.36
High Date 05/01/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 86.79
Support 79.91
Low 69.39
Low Date 10/06/2023
High 89.36
High Date 05/01/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 72.05
Support 63.00
High 105.60
High Date 09/12/2022
Low 69.39
Low Date 10/06/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 104.97
High Date 02/04/2020
Low 69.39
Low Date 10/06/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.